Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 0.290903 0.391735 0.503210 0.633444 0.779506 0.936620 1.116850
2025-06-15 0.155882 0.283820 0.444428 0.649698 0.896193 1.175604 1.509987
2025-06-22 0.085651 0.213712 0.394300 0.641501 0.952365 1.316331 1.762666
2025-06-29 0.039741 0.156056 0.345199 0.622985 0.987553 1.426517 1.975780
2025-07-06 0.022581 0.135936 0.342046 0.659228 1.086501 1.609396 2.271119
2025-07-13 0.012557 0.122995 0.346056 0.702787 1.193163 1.800647 2.575825
2025-07-20 0.005758 0.110471 0.347434 0.740515 1.290833 1.979922 2.865561
2025-07-27 0.003361 0.110078 0.368980 0.807198 1.426694 2.206743 3.212989
2025-08-03 0.000982 0.102343 0.375330 0.850293 1.530418 2.393054 3.511141
2025-08-10 NaN 0.084657 0.358969 0.856857 1.583385 2.514540 3.729598
2025-08-17 NaN 0.055101 0.309386 0.806782 1.555426 2.530940 3.817293
2025-08-24 NaN 0.031506 0.261072 0.752439 1.517335 2.531333 3.882732
2025-08-31 NaN 0.018334 0.232314 0.729797 1.526105 2.596278 4.034375
2025-09-07 NaN 0.013193 0.226021 0.746302 1.592250 2.737653 4.283695
2025-09-14 NaN 0.006872 0.207472 0.737761 1.619779 2.826686 4.465871
2025-09-21 NaN 0.002175 0.184546 0.717747 1.628437 2.889532 4.614170
2025-09-28 NaN 0.001727 0.191403 0.756774 1.727020 3.073411 4.916914
2025-10-05 NaN 0.001636 0.202012 0.803554 1.837672 3.273792 5.241012
2025-10-12 NaN 0.001329 0.209538 0.844003 1.938644 3.461210 5.548716
2025-10-19 NaN 0.002162 0.231945 0.915333 2.087470 3.713631 5.939892
2025-10-26 NaN 0.002018 0.242060 0.961336 2.197288 3.913360 6.263794
2025-11-02 NaN 0.000722 0.233502 0.968337 2.246697 4.031213 6.482875
2025-11-09 NaN NaN 0.197850 0.914889 2.200394 4.017917 6.532881